Книги
Solving DSGE models with stochastic trends
Seleznev, S.M. Solving DSGE models with stochastic trends / S. M. Seleznev; The Central Bank of the Russian Federation. — Moscow : Bank of Russia, 2016. — 27 p.. — (Working Paper Series; № 15 / september).
Аннотация
Over the past decade, DSGE models have gained popularity among macroeconomists. In the presence of theoretical interpretation, they can be fitted to data and used, for example, for forecasting or analysing optimal policy rules. To work with the model and fit it to data, it is necessary to solve the model, and there is a vast literature focusing on the solution and estimation of DSGE models (see, for instance, the review by Fernandez-Villaverde et al. (2016)). However, fewer papers consider non-stationary models, while part of the observed data is non-stationary in nature (GDP, investment, consumption, etc.). Models that can be reduced by transforming the variables into stationary ones (for example Fernandez-Villaverde and Rubio-Ramirez (2007)) are standard, but such a class leaves out many interesting models. Models in which the dynamics of trends is predetermined (and/or expectations about the dynamics of these trends are formed) have also been developed. Such models are usually solved using backward recursion, such as that of Kulish and Pagan (2014).
-
УДК:330.4
Рекомендовано к ознакомлению
- 1. Khabibullin, R. Fast estimation of bayesian state space models using amortized simulation-based inference / R. Khabibullin, S. Seleznev. — Moscow : Bank of Russia, december 2022. — 38 p.. — (Working Paper Series. # 104).
- 2. Khabibullin, R. Stochastic gradient variational Bayes and normalizing flows for estimating macroeconomic models / R. Khabibullin, S. Seleznev. — Moscow : Bank of Russia, 2020. — 49 p.. — (Working paper series. 61, september).
- 3. Andreyev, M. Adding a fiscal rule into a DSGE model: how much does it change the forecasts? / M. Andreyev. — Moscow : Bank of Russia, 2020. — 53 p.. — (Working paper series. 64, november).
- 4. Deryugina, E.B. A large Bayesian vector autoregression model for Russia / E. B. Deryugina, A. A. Ponomarenko. — Moscow : Bank of Russia, 2015. — 23 p.. — (Working Paper Series. № 1/March).
- 5. Disentangling loan demand and supply shocks in Russia / E. Deryugina [et al.]. — Moscow : Bank of Russia, 2015. — 32 p.. — (Working Paper Series. № 3/March).
- 6. Грищенко, В. Возможные подходы к прогнозированию спроса российских домохозяйств на цифровой рубль / В. Грищенко, А. Пономаренко, С. Селезнев. — Москва : Банк России, февраль 2023. — 45 с.. — (Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях. № 108).
- 7. Grishchenko, V. A feasible aproach to projecting household demand for the digital ruble in Russia / V. Grishchenko, A. Ponomarenko, S. Seleznev. — Moscow : Bank of Russia, february 2023. — 41 p.. — (Working Paper Series. # 108).
- 8. Селезнев, С. Быстрая оценка байесовских моделей пространства состояний с использованием симуляций / С. Селезнев, Р. Хабибуллин. — Москва : Банк России, декабрь 2022. — 42 с.. — (Серия препринтов об экономических исследованиях. № 104).
- 9. Popova, S. Idiosyncratic shocks: estimation and the impact on aggregate fluctuations / S. Popova. — Moscow : Bank of Russia, 2019. — 32 p.. — (Working paper series. 46, september).
- 10. Kreptsev, D. DSGE model of the Russian economy with the banking sector / D. Kreptsev, S. Seleznev. — Moscow : Bank of Russia, 2017. — 79 p.. — (Working paper series. 27, december).
Отзывы читателей
0