Monetary policy transmission in a small open economy under financial and trade restrictions
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Monetary policy transmission in a small open economy under financial and trade restrictions

Styrin, K. Monetary policy transmission in a small open economy under financial and trade restrictions / K. Styrin; The Central Bank of the Russian Federation, Research and Forecasting Department. — Moscow : Bank of Russia, december 2024. — 38 p.. — (Working Paper Series; # 141). — References: p. 24.
Styrin, K., (december 2024), Monetary policy transmission in a small open economy under financial and trade restrictions, The Central Bank of the Russian Federation, Research and Forecasting Department, Moscow: Bank of Russia, december 2024, 38 p., RU.
Styrin K. Monetary policy transmission in a small open economy under financial and trade restrictions. Moscow: Bank of Russia; december 2024. 38 p.

Аннотация

This paper studies how the effect of macroeconomic shocks on inflation depends on the severity of restrictions on international borrowing and imports. Using a calibrated model of a small open economy, I show that the effect of a change in the terms of trade, while being neutral in the absence of these restrictions, becomes inflationary in their presence. Inflation pressures emerge due to a higher interest rate on external borrowing, which is raised in order to pay for imports, and also due to trade costs, which have a direct effect on the domestic price of imported goods. As a consequence, monetary policy in the presence of restrictions on financial and trade transactions becomes tighter
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