Книги
When are credit gap estimates reliable?
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Когда оценки кредитных разрывов являются достоверными?Издание 2018 г.
Книги
When are credit gap estimates reliable?
Deryugina, E. When are credit gap estimates reliable? / E. Deryugina, A. Ponomarenko, A. Rozhkova; The Central Bank of the Russian Federation, Research and Forecasting Department. — Moscow : Bank of Russia, july 2018. — 34 p.: il.. — (Working paper series; # 34). — References: p. 26-29.
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Когда оценки кредитных разрывов являются достоверными?Издание 2018 г.
Аннотация
We evaluate the reliability of credit gap measures estimated over time samples of different lengths. We augment our empirical analysis (which turned out to be somewhat inconclusive) with Monte Carlo experiments. For this purpose we build an agent-based model that realistically reproduces credit cycles and use it to generate the artificial data set. We found that 12-15 years of available data is sufficient for the estimation of reliable credit gaps (i.e. the reliability of credit gap estimates will not improve substantially as more data are added to the sample).
Ключевые слова
- #агентно-ориентированные модели
- #английский язык
- #ввп
- #графики
- #дерюгина е.б.
- #издания банка россии
- #имитационные модели
- #кредит банковский
- #кредитные циклы
- #кредитный разрыв
- #кредитный рынок
- #кредитование
- #метод монте-карло
- #методы расчетов
- #пономаренко а.а.
- #работы сотрудников
- #таблицы
- #центральный аппарат
- #экономические исследования
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УДК:330.4
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